What is Forex Fundamental Analysis ?
Trading News in Forex Market
How to understand trading news?
News impact at Forex Market
What is an Economic Indicator?
Fundamental
Forex analysis is an important part of forex trading. Fundamental
Forex analysis is basing the valuation of an asset on important
economic reports. In forex trading, it refers to these reports as
economic indicators. Comparing the employment reports from two
countries and making a forex trade based on that information would be
an example of using fundamental forex analysis. Fundamental Forex
Analysis is basing on the analysis of economic, social and political
movement. At fundamental analysis, a forex trader must look at what
country is going on good position and what country is going on bad
position. If a country is going on good position than the currency of
that country is in good position.
Fundamental
Forex traders use information about the global and national economics,
and the financial state of the companies involved, as well as non
financial information such as current political and weather information.
Fundamental Forex traders believe that the Forex market will react to
events in certain ways and that they can predict future Forex market
prices based on these events.
For
example, a Forex Trader for a given currency pair studies the supply
and demand for the country's currency, products or services; its
management quality and government policies; its historic and forecasted
performance; its future plans and the most important for the shorter
term, all the economic indicators.
From
this data, the Forex Trader constructs a model to determine the
current and forecasted value of a currency pair. The basic idea is that
unmatched increases in supply tend to depress the currency value,
while unmatched increases in demand tend to increase the currency
value. Once the Forex Trader estimates natural value, he compares it to
the current exchange rate and decides whether the currency ought to
rise or fall.
Fundamental
forex traders need access to all of the available information as soon
as it is available, and are therefore often institutional forex traders
with large support teams, rather than individuals. Fundamental
Analysis has probably been in use since there were markets to trade,
and has traditionally been done manually, but as computing power
increases it has become possible for some fundamental information to be
processed automatically.
Forex Trading based on fundamental news can be a tricky matter. You can have a situation where the numbers come out very good for the asset that you want to buy, yet the asset will drop in value. This happens because the forex traders in the forex market have certain expectations of what numbers will be in the report. They will speculate on the outcome before the economic report comes out and place their forex trades early. If the report does not live up to their expectations, it won’t matter whether the news is good or not, the market can seemingly move in the wrong direction as the early forex traders dump their positions. Forex Trading the news is very risky and should only be done after several years of forex trading experience.
Forex Trading based on fundamental news can be a tricky matter. You can have a situation where the numbers come out very good for the asset that you want to buy, yet the asset will drop in value. This happens because the forex traders in the forex market have certain expectations of what numbers will be in the report. They will speculate on the outcome before the economic report comes out and place their forex trades early. If the report does not live up to their expectations, it won’t matter whether the news is good or not, the market can seemingly move in the wrong direction as the early forex traders dump their positions. Forex Trading the news is very risky and should only be done after several years of forex trading experience.
At
forex market, the news in the forex is mostly related to economic
events and announcements. Unlike the stock market, where each company
represents its own micro-economy, currency prices reflect economy as a
whole. Because forex news comes mostly from government and association
sources, it can seem a little boring, and all the acronyms and dates
are tough to keep straight. Forexfactory.com is a well known website to
understand trading news at forex market.You can get a brief idea about
trading news from the following screenshot.
From the above screenshot, I will show a formula how to understand trading news.
In case of “Core CPI m/m”, the formula is “Actual>Forecast=Good for currency”
From the above formula, we will know what is “Actual”, “Forecast” and “Good for currency”.
In
the above screenshot, the “previous” is “0.2%” that means when the
last result was published, the actual rate was “0.2%”. “Forecast” is
“0.3%” that means the result may come “0.3%”. “Actual” means the actual
result of market movement. “Actual” will be the “previous” result in
the next news.
Formula-1. “Actual” > “Forecast”= “Good for currency”.
In
the above screenshot, the “Actual(0.4%)” result is greater than the
“Forecast(0.3%)” that means this news is “Good for currency”.
Formula-2. “Actual” < “Forecast”= “Bad for currency”.
If the “Actual” result is less than “Forecast”, than the news is “Bad for currency”.
Forex
trading news can change price movements of currency pairs and for this
reason it is important to keep track of it constantly.
Online
currency trading in the Forex market is impacted by many factors. The
behavior of currencies and their reaction in certain situations are the
most significant. These reactions tend to repeat themselves in similar
circumstances and traders are able to evaluate the potential risk. A
trader who hopes to be a success in trading currencies has to educate
himself on the basics of different methods of market analysis.
Forexfactory.com is the best place of news analysis at forex market.
From the following screenshot, you will understand which currency is how much impacted by trading news.
If you want to know some certain news, you can configure by clicking “Filter”.
You can set your own timezone and date from “timezone and date”
An
economic indicator is an important piece of financial data in relation
to the asset. In forex trading, the assets are the currencies of
different countries. For countries, some important economic indicators
are: interest rate announcements, employment numbers, Consumer Price
Index, and Trade Balance numbers. While some reports are constantly
valuable in fundamental forex analysis, others will sometimes be very
important and other times, they will be much less important. For
instance, if a country is having solid growth and experiencing
inflation, the Consumer Price Index will be highly watched and
considered important by the forex market.
No comments:
Post a Comment